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Tadamon vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tadamon host Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Tadamon at 0.94 goals for, 1.19 against; Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley at 0.96 for, 1.68 against. Head-to-head, Tadamon have won 2 to Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 19, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.65 xG vs 1.13) point toward Tadamon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tadamon
30%
Draws
12%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tadamon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tadamon come out ahead of Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Tadamon taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 20%
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tadamon Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.94 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tadamon
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
5:2
Nov 19, 2021 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tadamon
2:1
Dec 25, 2020 Premier League
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley vs Tadamon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tadamon 67 / 100
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tadamon Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tadamon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tadamon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tadamon VS Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.67
63% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tadamon

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tadamon
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
Page 1 of 8

Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
17 Mar
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
1 : 2
Bourj
10 Mar
Al Hikma
2 : 1
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
04 Mar
Salam Zgharta
0 : 0
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
24 Feb
Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley
2 : 2
Safa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nejmeh SC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Safa 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Tadamon 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Al Ahed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Tripoli SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Mabarrah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Jwayya SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
11 Al Sahel 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)