Sport Picks

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Tadamon vs Al Sahel

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Al Samahi Z. H.
Assist: Diarra I.
89' Event
Abata V.
Assist: Khriess H.
90' Event
Khriess H.

AI Match Summary

Al Sahel in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Sahel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tadamon
44%
Draws
20%
Al Sahel
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Sahel have won more games recently than Tadamon.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 18%
Al Sahel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tadamon Al Sahel
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Sahel
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Tadamon
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Sahel vs Tadamon
0:2
May 22, 2024 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Sahel
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al Sahel
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Samahi Z. H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Sahel Compare

Top Goalscorer Abata V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khriess H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tadamon 36 / 100
Al Sahel 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tadamon Al Sahel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sahel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Tadamon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tadamon scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tadamon VS Al Sahel
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tadamon

(Home)
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
Page 1 of 7

Al Sahel

(Away)
02 Jul
Jwayya SC
0 : 0
Al Sahel
28 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 2
Al Sahel
24 Jun
Al Sahel
3 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
16 Jun
Al Sahel
2 : 0
Racing
12 Jun
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Safa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ansar21172253:953
2Nejmeh SC21144342:1046
3Al Ahed21131734:2240
4Jwayya SC21115531:1438
5Safa21113730:1736
6Al Hikma2193929:2730
7Al Sahel2176822:2127
8Al-Mabarrah2157912:3622
9Al Riyadi Abbasiyah21551116:3020
10Tadamon21381012:2617
11Racing2101204:611
12Bourj113178:2010
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)