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Tadamon vs Safa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
11:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tadamon host Safa in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tadamon have averaged 0.94 scored and 1.19 conceded recently, against Safa's 1.65 scored and 1.06 conceded. Past meetings favor Safa slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back Safa to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tadamon
20%
Draws
40%
Safa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tadamon haven't matched Safa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Safa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 15%
Safa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tadamon Safa
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 10 19
Draws 11 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Safa vs Tadamon
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Safa
1:1
Jul 2, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Tadamon
5:2
May 18, 2025 Premier League
Safa vs Tadamon
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Tadamon vs Safa
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tadamon 35 / 100
Safa 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tadamon Safa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Safa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Safa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Tadamon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tadamon found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Tadamon VS Safa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tadamon

(Home)
08 Oct
Al Sahel
0 : 1
Tadamon
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
Page 1 of 8

Safa

(Away)
08 Oct
Safa
2 : 1
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al Mabarrah
28 Jun
Jwayya SC
1 : 1
Safa
24 Jun
Al Ahed
4 : 1
Safa
20 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 4
Safa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Nejmeh SC 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
3 Tadamon 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
4 Jwayya SC 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 Al Ansar 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Al Ahed 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Tripoli SC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Al Hikma 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
10 Al Akhaa Al Ahli Aley 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
11 Al Mabarrah 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
12 Al Sahel 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)