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Tafea vs Napier City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Oceania Club Championship 2001
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tafea in this Oceania Club Championship 2001 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Tafea
15%
Draws
76%
Napier City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napier City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tafea lately — more wins on the board than Napier City.
  • Napier City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tafea have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tafea, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tafea Clean Sheet 16%
Napier City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tafea Napier City
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.97 2.22
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2001 OFC Champions League
Tafea vs Napier City
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tafea 10 / 100
Napier City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tafea Napier City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napier City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Napier City let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Tafea found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Tafea stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Napier City
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tafea

(Home)
17 Apr
Tafea
2 : 3
Team Wellington
15 Apr
Tefana
1 : 1
Tafea
12 Apr
Tafea
2 : 3
PNG Hekari
13 Apr
Tafea
1 : 3
Magenta
10 Apr
Ba
4 : 0
Tafea
Page 1 of 7

Napier City

(Away)
16 Aug
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Napier City
26 Jul
Hibiscus Coast
2 : 5
Napier City
04 Jul
Petone
0 : 4
Napier City
06 Jul
Napier City
2 : 3
Wellington Olympic
23 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3
Napier City
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wollongong 4
Venus 2
Napier City 2
Tafea 4
Final
Wollongong 1
Tafea 0
Venus 2
Napier City 3