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Tafea vs Team Wellington

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
28' Event
53' Event

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2014/2015 game between Tafea and Team Wellington finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Tafea
15%
Draws
80%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Team Wellington carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Team Wellington taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2014/2015 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tafea Clean Sheet 19%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tafea Team Wellington
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 19
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.83 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2015 OFC Champions League
Tafea vs Team Wellington
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tafea 10 / 100
Team Wellington 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tafea Team Wellington

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Team Wellington Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tafea scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Team Wellington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Tafea went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Team Wellington
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tafea

(Home)
17 Apr
Tafea
2 : 3
Team Wellington
15 Apr
Tefana
1 : 1
Tafea
12 Apr
Tafea
2 : 3
PNG Hekari
13 Apr
Tafea
1 : 3
Magenta
10 Apr
Ba
4 : 0
Tafea
Page 1 of 6

Team Wellington

(Away)
21 Mar
Auckland City
2 : 4
Team Wellington
13 Mar
Team Wellington
4 : 1
Hamilton
27 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 2
Hamilton
20 Feb
Canterbury
0 : 2
Team Wellington
13 Feb
Team Wellington
7 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Gaitcha 3 2 0 1 13:6 6
3 Pirae 3 0 1 2 5:10 1
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 1 2 5:14 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Amicale 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Suva 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Western United 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 PNG Hekari 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Tafea 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Tefana 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2014/2015 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams