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Taffs Well vs Aberdare Town Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Division 1 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

56'

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2015/2016 game between Taffs Well and Aberdare Town finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taffs Well.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Taffs Well
15%
Draws
42%
Aberdare Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taffs Well

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Aberdare Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aberdare Town's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 13%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taffs Well Aberdare Town
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.56 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Taffs Well
2:1
Feb 12, 2016 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Aberdare Town
3:1
Dec 20, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Taffs Well
0:3
Aug 30, 2014 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Aberdare Town
1:2
Apr 26, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Taffs Well
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taffs Well 22 / 100
Aberdare Town 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taffs Well Aberdare Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdare Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Taffs Well's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Aberdare Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Aberdare Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taffs Well VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taffs Well

(Home)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7

Aberdare Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 30 19 5 6 63:26 62
2 Barry Town 30 16 10 4 62:33 58
3 Goytre AFC 30 17 5 8 72:36 56
4 Caerau Ely 30 15 5 10 59:43 50
5 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 48:39 50
6 Taffs Well 30 14 5 11 57:51 47
7 Goytre Utd 30 13 4 13 45:47 43
8 Afan Lido 30 11 9 10 53:53 42
9 Ton Pentre 30 12 4 14 45:52 40
10 Risca United 30 12 3 15 48:48 39
11 Penybont 30 11 6 13 53:56 39
12 Monmouth 30 10 9 11 56:60 39
13 Briton Ferry 30 10 9 11 41:49 39
14 Aberdare Town 30 11 4 15 34:56 37
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 8 3 19 42:63 27
16 Garden Village 30 1 4 25 27:93 7
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)