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Stadium Background

Taftea IK vs IFK Lulea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Markgren L.
25' Event
Markgren L.
41' Event
Nordell W.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Taftea IK and IFK Lulea finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taftea IK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Taftea IK
15%
Draws
49%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Lulea have managed 2.07 goals a game lately — Taftea IK are scoring more at 2.17.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors IFK Lulea here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Taftea IK Clean Sheet 13%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taftea IK IFK Lulea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 17
Draws 1 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.17 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Taftea IK vs IFK Lulea
1:2
Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Taftea IK
2:1
May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Taftea IK vs IFK Lulea
4:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Taftea IK
4:0
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Taftea IK vs IFK Lulea
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taftea IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Markgren L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksson C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordell W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taftea IK 35 / 100
IFK Lulea 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taftea IK IFK Lulea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Taftea IK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

IFK Lulea let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Taftea IK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taftea IK VS IFK Lulea
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taftea IK

(Home)
27 Sept
Lucksta IF
1 : 2
Taftea IK
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1
IFK Ostersund
16 Sept
Skelleftea
1 : 2
Taftea IK
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
Page 1 of 6

IFK Lulea

(Away)
26 Sept
Kubikenborgs
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
05 Sept
IFK Lulea
2 : 1
Taftea IK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)