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Tagour vs AS Garde Nationale

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Tagour
30%
Draws
62%
AS Garde Nationale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Garde Nationale lately — more wins on the board than Tagour.
  • Win probability leans AS Garde Nationale's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tagour Clean Sheet 19%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tagour AS Garde Nationale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 12
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Tagour
2:0
May 5, 2026 Super Ligue
Tagour vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Tagour
2:2
May 1, 2024 Super Ligue
Tagour vs AS Garde Nationale
0:2
Dec 17, 2023 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Tagour
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tagour 16 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tagour AS Garde Nationale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tagour found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: AS Garde Nationale conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Tagour has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tagour VS AS Garde Nationale
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tagour

(Home)
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
23 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 0
Tagour
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
18 Jun
AS UAM
2 : 1
Tagour
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AS Garde Nationale

(Away)
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
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