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Taguatinga vs Bosque Formosa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Bosque Formosa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Taguatinga
15%
Draws
0%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taguatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taguatinga come out ahead of Bosque Formosa on wins alone.
  • Model gives Taguatinga a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Taguatinga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bosque Formosa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Taguatinga Clean Sheet 68%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taguatinga Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2021 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Taguatinga
2:5
Aug 16, 2020 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Taguatinga
0:1
Aug 12, 2020 Brasiliense
Taguatinga vs Bosque Formosa
0:1
Feb 20, 2020 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Taguatinga
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Taguatinga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taguatinga 95 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taguatinga Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taguatinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Bosque Formosa's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Taguatinga's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Taguatinga VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taguatinga

(Home)
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
20 Oct
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Legiao
12 Oct
Legiao
1 : 1
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 8

Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sobradinho 1
Gama 7
Taguatinga 1
Bosque Formosa 1
Luziania 1
Brasiliense 2
Capital 1
Real Brasilia 2
Semi-finals
Gama 6
Bosque Formosa 2
Brasiliense 2
Real Brasilia 2
Final
Gama 4
Brasiliense 3