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Taguatinga vs Luziania

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Taguatinga Logo

Taguatinga

2 - 1
FT
Luziania Logo

Luziania

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Gabriel Neri
60' Event
Gomes W.
79' Event
Sousa P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Taguatinga in this Brasiliense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taguatinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Taguatinga
20%
Draws
33%
Luziania
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taguatinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Taguatinga have won more games recently than Luziania.
  • Taguatinga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Taguatinga Clean Sheet 20%
Luziania Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taguatinga Luziania
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.79 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Taguatinga vs Luziania
2:1
Jan 27, 2022 Brasiliense
Taguatinga vs Luziania
3:2
Apr 17, 2021 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Taguatinga
0:0
Feb 5, 2020 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Taguatinga
1:2
Mar 7, 2019 Brasiliense
Taguatinga vs Luziania
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taguatinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Neri
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sousa P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Luziania Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taguatinga 85 / 100
Luziania 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taguatinga Luziania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taguatinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taguatinga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Luziania conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Taguatinga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Taguatinga VS Luziania
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taguatinga

(Home)
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Taguatinga
1 : 0
Canaa EC
29 Aug
Candango
0 : 4
Taguatinga
20 Oct
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Legiao
12 Oct
Legiao
1 : 1
Taguatinga
Page 1 of 6

Luziania

(Away)
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 7 5 2 0 22:2 17
2 Sobradinho 7 4 3 0 29:5 15
3 SESP Brasilia 7 4 2 1 10:2 14
4 Legiao 7 4 1 2 16:3 13
5 Luziania 7 3 0 4 17:8 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 3 0 4 8:21 9
7 Riacho City 7 1 0 6 6:40 3
8 Botafogo DF 7 0 0 7 3:30 0
Promotion - Brasiliense 2 2024 (Play Offs)