Sport Picks

Philippines

PFL

Kaya FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Taguig play Kaya FC in the PFL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Taguig averaged 3.88 goals scored and 0.66 conceded. Kaya FC averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Taguig won 2, Kaya FC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Taguig and 1.50 for Kaya FC. This points to a Taguig double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Taguig

15%

Draws

36%

Kaya FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taguig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Taguig picked up more points recently compared to Kaya FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Taguig Clean Sheet 16%

Kaya FC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Taguig	Kaya FC
Matches Played	32	33
Wins	22	17
Draws	5	3
Losses	5	13
Goals Scored	3.88	2.67
Goals Conceded	0.66	1.09
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 PFL

Taguig vs Kaya FC

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Feb 21, 2026 PFL

Kaya FC vs Taguig

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Oct 26, 2025 PFL

Taguig vs Kaya FC

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Mar 30, 2025 PFL

Kaya FC vs Taguig

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Dec 1, 2024 PFL

Taguig vs Kaya FC

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taguig Compare

Top Goalscorer Agyemang I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Melliza J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bedic J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taguig 47 / 100

Kaya FC 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Taguig Kaya FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Taguig or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Taguig attacking → ← attacking Kaya FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taguig scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Kaya FC let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Taguig went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kaya FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

71 Points in last 5 54

2.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Manila Digger	25	18	6	1	109:17	60
2	Taguig	25	18	4	3	91:15	58
3	Kaya FC	25	15	3	7	76:21	48
4	Cebu FC	25	14	6	5	74:25	48
5	Davao Aguilas	25	12	4	9	51:34	40
6	Stallion	25	9	10	6	64:31	37