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Tahiti U17 vs Fiji U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Seguy V.
56' Event
Guillemant T.
68' Event
Tama A.

AI Match Summary

Tahiti U17 host Fiji U17 in the OFC Championship U17 2023. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Tahiti U17 have averaged 2.25 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Fiji U17's 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Tahiti U17 have won 1 to Fiji U17's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.75 - 1.38) back Tahiti U17 to edge this. Tahiti U17 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tahiti U17
6%
Draws
4%
Fiji U17
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tahiti U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tahiti U17 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fiji U17.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tahiti U17.
  • Cup tournament structure in OFC Championship U17 2023 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tahiti U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Fiji U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U17 Fiji U17
Matches Played 19 25
Wins 14 9
Draws 1 3
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2023 OFC Championship U16
Tahiti U17 vs Fiji U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seguy V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guillemant T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Fiji U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U17 84 / 100
Fiji U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U17 Fiji U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti U17 scored in 95% of their last 19 games.

Fiji U17 let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tahiti U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fiji U17 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U17 VS Fiji U17
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
New Caledonia U174
Samoa U170
Tahiti U175
Tonga U170
Fiji U173
Cook Islands U170
New Zealand U171
Vanuatu U170
Semi-finals
New Caledonia U172
Tahiti U171
Fiji U171
New Zealand U174
Final
New Caledonia U170
New Zealand U171
Tahiti U173
Fiji U170