Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tahiti vs American Samoa Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tahiti in this Pacific Games 2019 matchup, with the score ending 8-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tahiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tahiti
15%
Draws
21%
American Samoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • American Samoa haven't matched Tahiti's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tahiti a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Tahiti Clean Sheet 20%
American Samoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti American Samoa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 2.16 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.22 6.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2019 Pacific Games
Tahiti vs American Samoa
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti 85 / 100
American Samoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti American Samoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

American Samoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Tahiti found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Recent resilience: Tahiti stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti VS American Samoa
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti

(Home)
01 Oct
Cook Islands
3 : 2
Tahiti
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
18 Nov
Tahiti
2 : 0
Vanuatu
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
Page 1 of 7

American Samoa

(Away)
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2
Samoa
29 Nov
American Samoa
2 : 6
Tonga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U23 4 3 1 0 20:1 10
2 Papua New Guinea 4 3 0 1 16:2 9
3 Vanuatu 4 2 1 1 25:2 7
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 3:22 3
5 Tonga 4 0 0 4 0:37 0
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia 5 5 0 0 22:0 15
2 Fiji 5 3 1 1 25:7 10
3 Tahiti 5 3 0 2 19:6 9
4 Solomon Islands 5 2 1 2 30:9 7
5 American Samoa 5 0 1 4 2:36 1
6 Tuvalu 5 0 1 4 2:42 1
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)