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Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W

World World

World Cup Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tahiti W play Cook Islands W in the World Cup Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tahiti W averaged 0.96 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Cook Islands W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Tahiti W won 1, Cook Islands W won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Tahiti W and 1.25 for Cook Islands W. This points to a Cook Islands W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tahiti W
33%
Draws
41%
Cook Islands W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tahiti W picked up more points recently compared to Cook Islands W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Tahiti W Clean Sheet 19%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti W Cook Islands W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.96 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 World Cup Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
0:1
Jul 4, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:1
Nov 28, 2023 Pacific Games Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:1
Aug 29, 2023 Friendly International Women
Tahiti W vs Cook Islands W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cook Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rouru T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti W 27 / 100
Cook Islands W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti W Cook Islands W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cook Islands W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tahiti W attacking → ← attacking Cook Islands W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti W scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Cook Islands W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Tahiti W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cook Islands W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 31
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63