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Tai Po vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tai Po Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Leung Kwun-Chung
7'
Leung Kwun-Chung
7'
Leung Kwun-Chung

AI Match Summary

Tai Po in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tai Po.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tai Po
15%
Draws
34%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern AA haven't matched Tai Po's recent run of results.
  • Tai Po are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors Tai Po here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 10%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tai Po Eastern AA
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 24 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.11 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
4:1
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Tai Po
2:4
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Tai Po
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 League Cup
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tai Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulinho Simionato
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wallisson Bahia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Okubo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tai Po 83 / 100
Eastern AA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tai Po Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tai Po Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Eastern AA conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Eastern AA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tai Po VS Eastern AA
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
02 Aug
Tai Po
1 : 4
Terengganu
Page 1 of 8

Eastern AA

(Away)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 North District 4 3 1 0 12:0 10
3 Kitchee 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
4 Tai Po 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 Southern District 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
6 Eastern AA 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
7 Shatin 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
8 Kowloon City 4 1 0 3 4:11 3
9 Eastern District 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
10 Hong Kong FC 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
11 Hong Kong Rangers 4 0 0 4 5:14 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)