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Stadium Background

Tai Po vs Eastern AA

Hong Kong Hong Kong

League Cup Tai Po Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Okubo Y.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Temelkovski J.
53'
Hall C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Tai Po
15%
Draws
31%
Eastern AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tai Po have won more games recently than Eastern AA.
  • Model gives Tai Po a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Tai Po have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tai Po, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 15%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tai Po Eastern AA
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Tai Po
2:4
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Tai Po
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 League Cup
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
3:1
Apr 20, 2025 FA Cup
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tai Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Temelkovski J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Eastern AA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tai Po 75 / 100
Eastern AA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tai Po Eastern AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tai Po Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Eastern AA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Tai Po has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tai Po VS Eastern AA
2.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
02 Aug
Tai Po
1 : 4
Terengganu
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
23 May
Tai Po
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
Page 1 of 6

Eastern AA

(Away)
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong Rangers -
Kowloon City -
TBD -
Southern District 1
Eastern District 4
North District -
TBD -
TBD -
Lee Man Warriors -
Hong Kong FC -
TBD -
Tai Po 3
Eastern AA 1
Quarter-finals
Kitchee 3
Hong Kong Rangers 0
Kowloon City 2
Eastern District 1
North District 1
Lee Man Warriors 2
Hong Kong FC 0
Tai Po 3
Semi-finals
Kitchee 1
Kowloon City 0
Lee Man Warriors 1
Tai Po 0
Final
Kitchee 1
Lee Man Warriors 2