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Tai Po vs Kitchee

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tai Po Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Patrick Valverde
13' Event
Patrick Valverde
60'
Sub
Temelkovski J. In: Paulinho Simionato
Out: Temelkovski J.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Tai Po and Kitchee finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tai Po.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tai Po
6%
Draws
4%
Kitchee
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tai Po come out ahead of Kitchee on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tai Po taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 16%
Kitchee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tai Po Kitchee
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Premier League
Tai Po vs Kitchee
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 FA Cup
Tai Po vs Kitchee
2:1
Jan 25, 2026 Premier League
Kitchee vs Tai Po
4:2
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Tai Po vs Kitchee
1:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Kitchee vs Tai Po
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tai Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Patrick Valverde
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernando
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Kitchee Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tai Po 84 / 100
Kitchee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tai Po Kitchee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Tai Po went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kitchee has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tai Po VS Kitchee
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
23 May
Tai Po
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0
Kitchee
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Kitchee

(Away)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0
Kitchee
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2
Kitchee
18 Apr
Kitchee
1 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
12 Apr
Kitchee
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee22164254:2852
2Tai Po22134549:3243
3Lee Man Warriors22126457:2642
4Eastern AA2295839:3732
5North District2288643:3932
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