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Tai Po vs North District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tai Po Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Weverton Gudula
34' Event
Chan Siu-Kwan P.
41'
Navarro F.

AI Match Summary

Tai Po in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tai Po.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tai Po
6%
Draws
4%
North District
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • North District haven't matched Tai Po's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Tai Po's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 16%
North District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tai Po North District
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Tai Po vs North District
3:2
Feb 7, 2026 Senior Shield
North District vs Tai Po
2:3
Dec 4, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Tai Po
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Tai Po vs North District
0:2
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Tai Po vs North District
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tai Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan Siu-Kwan P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Michel Renner
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

North District Compare

Top Goalscorer Weverton Gudula
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arboleda Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tai Po 84 / 100
North District 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tai Po North District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: North District conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tai Po remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tai Po VS North District
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
23 May
Tai Po
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
02 May
Tai Po
3 : 0
Kitchee
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North District

(Away)
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
10 May
North District
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2
Kitchee
18 Apr
Tai Po
3 : 2
North District
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee22164254:2852
2Tai Po22134549:3243
3Lee Man Warriors22126457:2642
4Eastern AA2295839:3732
5North District2288643:3932
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