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Tai Po vs Yuen Long

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sapling Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tai Po
20%
Draws
36%
Yuen Long
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tai Po lately — more wins on the board than Yuen Long.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Yuen Long taking it.
  • Tai Po have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 20%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tai Po Yuen Long
Matches Played 44 24
Wins 24 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 2.14 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Premier League
Tai Po vs Yuen Long
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Sapling Cup
Tai Po vs Yuen Long
2:2
Dec 29, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Tai Po
6:3
Nov 2, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Tai Po
1:3
Feb 10, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Tai Po
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tai Po 28 / 100
Yuen Long 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tai Po Yuen Long

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yuen Long Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Yuen Long conceded in 88% of 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Tai Po remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tai Po VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
Page 1 of 9

Yuen Long

(Away)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Eastern AA 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
3 Pegasus 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Lee Man Warriors 8 2 1 5 17:22 7
5 Hong Kong Rangers 8 1 1 6 10:27 4
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
2 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 8 4 1 3 18:12 13
3 Yuen Long 8 3 3 2 19:17 12
4 Happy Valley 8 2 2 4 13:17 8
5 Tai Po 8 1 3 4 18:25 6
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)