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Taian Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu

China China

League Two Taishan
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Wang Xin
17'
Hai Xiaorui
29' Event
He Youzu
Assist: Yang Jingfan

AI Match Summary

Changchun Xidu in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changchun Xidu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Taian Tiankuang
30%
Draws
34%
Changchun Xidu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taian Tiankuang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Taian Tiankuang have won more games recently than Changchun Xidu.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Taian Tiankuang taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Changchun Xidu have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Taian Tiankuang Clean Sheet 68%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taian Tiankuang Changchun Xidu
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 9 16
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu
0:1
Apr 15, 2026 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Taian Tiankuang
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Taian Tiankuang
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Changchun Xidu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taian Tiankuang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Changchun Xidu Compare

Top Goalscorer He Youzu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taian Tiankuang 46 / 100
Changchun Xidu 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taian Tiankuang Changchun Xidu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taian Tiankuang scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Changchun Xidu let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Taian Tiankuang stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taian Tiankuang VS Changchun Xidu
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179