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Tajikistan U17 vs Thailand U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 King Abdullah Sports City Training Stadium (Pitch B), Jeddah
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Match Events

1' Event
Sobunma P.
Own Goal
25'
Ekbua S.
31'
Sanginov P.

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tajikistan U17
20%
Draws
29%
Thailand U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tajikistan U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Tajikistan U17 average 2.73 goals a game right now, well clear of Thailand U17's 2.67.
  • 29% — that's where the model lands on Thailand U17 taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Tajikistan U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Tajikistan U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan U17 Thailand U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.73 2.67
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
Tajikistan U17 vs Thailand U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanginov P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Thailand U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U17 10 / 100
Thailand U17 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan U17 Thailand U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan U17 found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Thailand U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tajikistan U17 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan U17 VS Thailand U17
2.25 Goals Scored 3.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan U17

(Home)
15 May
Japan U17
5 : 0
Tajikistan U17
12 May
Saudi Arabia U17
5 : 5
Tajikistan U17
09 May
Myanmar U17
0 : 1
Tajikistan U17
05 May
Tajikistan U17
2 : 0
Thailand U17
11 Nov
Burkina Faso U17
2 : 0
Tajikistan U17
Page 1 of 6

Thailand U17

(Away)
12 May
Thailand U17
2 : 2
Myanmar U17
09 May
Thailand U17
0 : 2
Saudi Arabia U17
05 May
Tajikistan U17
2 : 0
Thailand U17
30 Nov
Thailand U17
3 : 0
Kuwait U17
28 Nov
Turkmenistan U17
3 : 2
Thailand U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U17 3 2 1 0 11:5 7
2 Tajikistan U17 3 2 1 0 8:5 7
3 Thailand U17 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
4 Myanmar U17 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 China U17 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
3 Qatar U17 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Indonesia U17 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
2 South Korea U17 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Yemen U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 United Arab Emirates U17 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U17 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Australia U17 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 India U17 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 North Korea U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Play Offs)