Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship U19 2018

Sri Lanka U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U19 play Sri Lanka U19 in the AFC Championship U19 2018. Tajikistan U19 are favorites here. Recently, Tajikistan U19 averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Sri Lanka U19 averaged 0.58 goals scored and 4.33 conceded. In past meetings, Tajikistan U19 won 1, Sri Lanka U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 4, 2017 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Tajikistan U19 and 0.68 for Sri Lanka U19. This points to a Tajikistan U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Tajikistan U19

18%

Draws

11%

Sri Lanka U19

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Tajikistan U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tajikistan U19 picked up more points recently compared to Sri Lanka U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 0.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 68%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Tajikistan U19 Clean Sheet 28%

Sri Lanka U19 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tajikistan U19	Sri Lanka U19
Matches Played	27	12
Wins	14	1
Draws	6	1
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	2.15	0.58
Goals Conceded	1.15	4.33
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	0.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2017 AFC Championship U19

Tajikistan U19 vs Sri Lanka U19

Possession: 44% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Athamjon A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sharipov U.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Sri Lanka U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U19 70 / 100

Sri Lanka U19 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tajikistan U19 Sri Lanka U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tajikistan U19 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tajikistan U19 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.5%

1.61

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tajikistan U19 attacking → ← attacking Sri Lanka U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan U19 scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Sri Lanka U19 let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Tajikistan U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sri Lanka U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 4

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.60

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U19	4	3	0	1	10:3	9
2	Oman U19	4	2	1	1	10:6	7
3	Bahrain U19	4	2	1	1	7:3	7
4	Kyrgyzstan U19	4	2	0	2	5:8	6
5	Nepal U19	4	0	0	4	0:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tajikistan U19	4	3	1	0	12:0	10
2	Uzbekistan U19	4	3	0	1	17:1	9
3	Bangladesh U19	4	2	1	1	5:1	7
4	Maldives U19	4	0	1	3	2:14	1
5	Sri Lanka U19	4	0	1	3	2:22	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar U19	2	1	1	0	3:1	4
2	Iraq U19	2	1	1	0	3:1	4
3	Lebanon U19	2	0	0	2	0:4	0
4	Afghanistan U19	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U19	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
2	Yemen U19	3	1	1	1	4:2	4
3	India U19	3	1	1	1	3:5	4
4	Turkmenistan U19	3	0	0	3	0:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U19	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Iran U19	3	1	2	0	5:1	5
3	Syria U19	3	1	1	1	5:5	4
4	Palestine U19	3	0	0	3	2:9	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U19	4	4	0	0	22:0	12
2	Malaysia U19	4	3	0	1	8:5	9
3	Indonesia U19	4	2	0	2	11:8	6
4	Timor-Leste U19	4	0	1	3	3:14	1
5	Brunei U19	4	0	1	3	2:19	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	China U19	3	3	0	0	8:0	9
2	Cambodia U19	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Myanmar U19	3	1	0	2	8:4	3
4	Philippines U19	3	0	1	2	0:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vietnam U19	3	3	0	8:1	9
2	Chinese Taipei U19	3	2	1	5:2	6
3	Macau U19	3	1	2	1:4	3
4	Laos U19	3	0	3	0:7	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U19	3	3	0	16:1	9
2	Thailand U19	3	2	1	9:5	6
3	Mongolia U19	3	1	2	6:14	3
4	Singapore U19	3	0	3	3:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U19	2	2	0	7:1	6
2	North Korea U19	2	1	1	6:5	3
3	Hong Kong U19	2	0	2	1:8	0
4	Northern Mariana Islands U19	0	0	0	0:0	0