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Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025

North Korea U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U20 play North Korea U20 in the AFC Asian Cup U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tajikistan U20 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. North Korea U20 averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Tajikistan U20 won 0, North Korea U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 25, 2024 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.98 for Tajikistan U20 and 1.34 for North Korea U20. This points to a Tajikistan U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Tajikistan U20

24%

Draws

32%

North Korea U20

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Tajikistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Tajikistan U20 picked up more points recently compared to North Korea U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.98 vs 1.34 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Tajikistan U20 Clean Sheet 18%

North Korea U20 Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tajikistan U20	North Korea U20
Matches Played	29	16
Wins	12	3
Draws	6	5
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.34	0.81
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 AFC Asian Cup U20

Tajikistan U20 vs North Korea U20

Possession: 41% - 54% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

North Korea U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Choe Kuk

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ra Mu-ryong

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.79

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U20 43 / 100

North Korea U20 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tajikistan U20 North Korea U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tajikistan U20 or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tajikistan U20 attacking → ← attacking North Korea U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan U20 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

North Korea U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tajikistan U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

North Korea U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 14

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.43

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.71

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Syria U20	4	4	0	0	16:1	12
2	Vietnam U20	4	3	0	1	12:2	9
3	Bangladesh U20	4	1	1	2	5:11	4
4	Guam U20	4	0	2	2	4:16	2
5	Bhutan U20	4	0	1	3	2:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uzbekistan U20	4	4	0	0	21:1	12
2	Cambodia U20	4	2	1	1	6:9	7
3	Bahrain U20	4	2	0	2	5:6	6
4	Nepal U20	4	1	0	3	4:15	3
5	Chinese Taipei U20	4	0	1	3	3:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U20	4	4	0	0	18:2	12
2	United Arab Emirates U20	4	2	1	1	17:5	7
3	Kuwait U20	4	2	1	1	9:3	7
4	Lebanon U20	4	1	0	3	11:8	3
5	Northern Mariana Islands U20	4	0	0	4	0:37	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U20	4	3	1	0	10:0	10
2	Australia U20	4	3	1	0	6:1	10
3	Afghanistan U20	4	1	1	2	1:6	4
4	Palestine U20	4	0	2	2	2:4	2
5	Macau U20	4	0	1	3	1:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U20	4	3	1	0	7:0	10
2	Oman U20	4	2	0	2	9:4	6
3	Tajikistan U20	4	2	0	2	5:5	6
4	Malaysia U20	4	1	2	1	3:3	5
5	Sri Lanka U20	4	0	1	3	1:13	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Indonesia U20	3	2	1	0	8:2	7
2	Yemen U20	3	2	1	0	7:2	7
3	Timor-Leste U20	3	1	0	2	6:7	3
4	Maldives U20	3	0	0	3	1:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iran U20	3	3	0	17:0	9
2	India U20	3	2	1	6:2	6
3	Laos U20	3	1	2	6:10	3
4	Mongolia U20	3	0	3	1:18	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U20	3	3	0	18:0	9
2	Thailand U20	3	2	1	18:1	6
3	Philippines U20	3	1	2	4:7	3
4	Brunei U20	3	0	3	0:32	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U20	3	2	1	0	9:1	7
2	Kyrgyzstan U20	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
3	Turkmenistan U20	3	1	0	2	4:4	3
4	Myanmar U20	3	0	0	3	1:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Qatar U20	3	3	0	8:2	9
2	Jordan U20	3	2	1	11:3	6
3	Hong Kong U20	3	1	2	2:9	3
4	Singapore U20	3	0	3	0:7	0