Sport Picks

Tajikistan vs Iraq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia

Asian Cup Al-Shabab Club Stadium, Riyadh

Iraq

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Iraq have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Tajikistan have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Tajikistan slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.26 - 1.01) back Iraq to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Tajikistan

20%

Draws

29%

Iraq

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tajikistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Iraq carry the better recent record into this one.
Tajikistan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Iraq arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 21%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%

Tajikistan Clean Sheet 20%

Iraq Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tajikistan	Iraq
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	13	14
Draws	6	6
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.48	1.09
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.26	1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2021 Friendly International

Iraq vs Tajikistan

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan 85 / 100

Iraq 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tajikistan Iraq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tajikistan Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Iraq has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Tajikistan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Iraq registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan VS Iraq

1.14 Goals Scored 0.88

1.14 Goals Conceded 1.38

57% Over 1.5 75%

29% Over 2.5 25%

29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tajikistan

(Home)

06 Oct

China

0 : 1

Tajikistan

28 Sept

Tajikistan

2 : 4

Palestine

23 Sept

Azerbaijan

1 : 0

Tajikistan

09 Jun

Tajikistan

1 : 1

India

05 Jun

Tajikistan

3 : 1

India

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Iraq

(Away)

29 Sept

Saudi Arabia

2 : 0

Iraq

26 Sept

Kuwait

2 : 3

Iraq

23 Sept

Iraq

1 : 1

Oman

26 Jun

Senegal

5 : 0

Iraq

22 Jun

France

3 : 0

Iraq

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