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Tak Chun Ka I vs Lun Lok

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pereira E.
26' Event
Almeida H.
37' Event
Almeida H.

AI Match Summary

Lun Lok in this Elite League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lun Lok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tak Chun Ka I
6%
Draws
4%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tak Chun Ka I

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I haven't matched Lun Lok's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tak Chun Ka I a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I Lun Lok
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 2
Losses 25 25
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 3.5 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Lun Lok
0:6
Jul 15, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Lun Lok
0:6
Apr 14, 2023 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Tak Chun Ka I
1:2
Jun 18, 2022 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Tak Chun Ka I
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Lun Lok
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Almeida H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira E.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 83 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I Lun Lok

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lun Lok has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Lun Lok lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Tak Chun Ka I scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Tak Chun Ka I VS Lun Lok
1 Goals Scored 1
3.5 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO16151073:446
2Benfica16131257:1440
3Monte Carlo16121364:1537
4Cheng Fung16101545:2031
5Lun Lok16511022:4316
6Hang Sai16411124:7513
7Tak Chun Ka I16411127:5813
8Sporting Macau16221223:638
9Toi Seng16211317:607