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Takeley vs Chertsey Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Olorunfemi I.
52' Event
Ridgley W.
59' Event
Abisogun G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. This leg finished 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Takeley
15%
Draws
44%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chertsey Town lately — more wins on the board than Takeley.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chertsey Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chertsey Town, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Takeley Clean Sheet 10%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Takeley Chertsey Town
Matches Played 14 26
Wins 4 14
Draws 1 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.14 2.12
Goals Conceded 2.29 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 FA Trophy
Takeley vs Chertsey Town
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Takeley Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Chertsey Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Olorunfemi I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ridgley W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Takeley 34 / 100
Chertsey Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Takeley Chertsey Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chertsey Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chertsey Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Takeley has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Takeley scored in 57% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

Takeley VS Chertsey Town
1.33 Goals Scored 2.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Takeley

(Home)
24 Oct
Takeley
0 : 4
Chertsey Town
26 Sept
Takeley
2 : 0
Hitchin
12 Sept
Takeley
2 : 0
Aylesbury United
29 Aug
London Lions
0 : 2
Takeley
07 Jul
Harlow
3 : 4
Takeley
Page 1 of 3

Chertsey Town

(Away)
03 Nov
Bracknell Town
1 : 2
Chertsey Town
31 Oct
Chertsey Town
4 : 3
Basingstoke
27 Oct
Poole Town
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
24 Oct
Takeley
0 : 4
Chertsey Town
20 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 0
Evesham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hebburn Town -
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Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 1
Redcar Athletic 0
Workington 3
Cleethorpes 2
Bridlington Town 3
Curzon Ashton 2
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Avro 2
Hyde 1
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Darlington FC -
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Bury FC 3
Prescot Cables 0
Mickleover 1
Alfreton 2
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Buxton -
Worksop -
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South Shields -
Leek Town 4
Bootle 1
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Morecambe -
Bourne 1
Banbury 0
Anstey Nomads 0
Bromsgrove 1
Bedford -
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Needham Market 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
Deal Town 1
Hashtag 3
Braintree -
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Kettering 6
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn -
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Loughborough Students 0
Stourbridge 2
Evesham 0
Halesowen 4
Redditch 3
Gloucester City 2
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Faversham 0
Newmarket 1
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Hastings 2
Waltham Abbey 3
Enfield Town 5
Hanworth Villa 1
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Walton & Hersham -
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Aveley 2
Carshalton 1
Farnham -
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Berkhamsted Town 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Weymouth 3
Sholing 2
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Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford 3
Three Bridges 2
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Horsham FC -
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Torquay -
Didcot 2
Poole Town 1
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Slough Town -
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Whitehawk 4
St. Albans 3
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Taunton Town 1
Wimborne 4
Egham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Bath City 1
Frome Town 0
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Truro -
Leatherhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Takeley 0
Chertsey Town 4
Dover Ath. -
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Erith Town 3
Burgess Hill 4
Salisbury -
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1/64-finals
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Ashton United -
Workington -
Bridlington Town -
Macclesfield -
Spennymoor -
Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
Marine -
Avro -
Chester -
Darlington FC -
Bury FC -
Alfreton -
Southport -
Chorley -
Buxton -
Worksop -
South Shields -
Leek Town -
Morecambe -
Bourne -
Bromsgrove -
Bedford -
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Wingate & Finchley -
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Braintree -
Kettering -
King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
Halesowen -
Redditch -
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Chelmsford -
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Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
Brackley -
Newmarket -
Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
Harborough -
Billericay -
Waltham Abbey -
Enfield Town -
Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
Aveley -
Farnham -
Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
Cray Wanderers -
Weymouth -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford -
AFC Totton -
Horsham FC -
Torquay -
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Slough Town -
Maidstone -
Maidenhead -
Whitehawk -
Tonbridge -
Wimborne -
Uxbridge -
Bath City -
Truro -
Eastbourne Borough -
Chertsey Town -
Dover Ath. -
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Salisbury -
Chichester City -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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