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Stadium Background

Talant vs Ilbirs

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Karpuk I.
62' Event
Karpuk I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Talant and Ilbirs finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilbirs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Talant
30%
Draws
51%
Ilbirs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ilbirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Talant come out ahead of Ilbirs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Talant's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Talant Clean Sheet 20%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Talant Ilbirs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 13
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier Liga
Talant vs Ilbirs
0:2
Jun 20, 2026 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Talant
0:0
Oct 12, 2025 Premier Liga
Talant vs Ilbirs
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Talant
0:0
Nov 7, 2024 Premier Liga
Talant vs Ilbirs
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Talant Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ilbirs Compare

Top Goalscorer Karpuk I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Talant 85 / 100
Ilbirs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Talant Ilbirs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Talant Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Talant scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ilbirs conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Talant remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Talant VS Ilbirs
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Talant

(Home)
21 Aug
Talant
1 : 0
Ozgon
16 Aug
Alay Osh
2 : 0
Talant
07 Aug
Talant
0 : 2
Ilbirs
03 Aug
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
2 : 0
Talant
30 Jul
Dordoi Bishkek
0 : 0
Talant
Page 1 of 6

Ilbirs

(Away)
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
15 Aug
Ilbirs
3 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
11 Aug
Ilbirs
1 : 1
Asia Talas
07 Aug
Talant
0 : 2
Ilbirs
01 Aug
Ilbirs
4 : 0
Aldier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 19 12 4 3 52:28 40
2 Muras United 19 11 7 1 38:17 40
3 Asia Talas 21 11 7 3 47:34 40
4 Alga Bishkek 19 11 6 2 35:18 39
5 Ozgon 20 12 2 6 39:24 38
6 Alay Osh 19 11 4 4 29:20 37
7 Dordoi Bishkek 20 7 4 9 30:28 25
8 Ilbirs 21 5 9 7 27:33 24
9 Aldier 20 6 6 8 28:35 24
10 Talant 21 5 8 8 22:23 23
11 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 19 7 2 10 25:32 23
12 Toktogul 20 7 2 11 22:32 23
13 Bishkek City 19 4 8 7 16:23 20
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 20 3 8 9 24:36 17
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 20 2 5 13 18:37 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 19 1 4 14 18:50 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)