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Talanta FC vs Fortune Sacco

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Talanta FC in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Talanta FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Talanta FC
6%
Draws
4%
Fortune Sacco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Talanta FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortune Sacco lately — more wins on the board than Talanta FC.
  • Model gives Talanta FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Talanta FC Clean Sheet 16%
Fortune Sacco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Talanta FC Fortune Sacco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Super League
Talanta FC vs Fortune Sacco
4:3
Dec 17, 2025 Super League
Fortune Sacco vs Talanta FC
3:1
Jan 7, 2023 Premier League
Fortune Sacco vs Talanta FC
0:0
Oct 1, 2022 Premier League
Talanta FC vs Fortune Sacco
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Talanta FC 84 / 100
Fortune Sacco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Talanta FC Fortune Sacco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Talanta FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Talanta FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Fortune Sacco has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Talanta FC VS Fortune Sacco
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Talanta FC

(Home)
13 Jun
Gucha Stars
3 : 2
Talanta FC
07 Jun
Talanta FC
5 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
01 Jun
3K FC
3 : 2
Talanta FC
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
22 May
Talanta FC
4 : 3
Fortune Sacco
Page 1 of 6

Fortune Sacco

(Away)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
22 May
Talanta FC
4 : 3
Fortune Sacco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)