Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tallinna FC Zapoos vs Raplamaa

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna FC Zapoos in this Estonian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tallinna FC Zapoos
6%
Draws
4%
Raplamaa
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna FC Zapoos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Raplamaa haven't matched Tallinna FC Zapoos's recent run of results.
  • Tallinna FC Zapoos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Tallinna FC Zapoos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tallinna FC Zapoos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 16%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna FC Zapoos Raplamaa
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 28
Goals Scored 3.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 4.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2022 Estonian Cup
Tallinna FC Zapoos vs Raplamaa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna FC Zapoos 84 / 100
Raplamaa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna FC Zapoos Raplamaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna FC Zapoos's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Raplamaa let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Raplamaa lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna FC Zapoos VS Raplamaa
3.63 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 4.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna FC Zapoos

(Home)
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0
Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0
FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0
Tallinna FC Zapoos
30 Oct
Hiiumaa
2 : 3
Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4

Raplamaa

(Away)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1
Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Kuressaare1
Viimsi JK0
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
Kristiine-
TBD-
TBD-
Laaneranna-
Tartu Kalev-
Puhkus Mehhikos-
TBD-
Jager-
Tallinn Piraaja-
TBD-
Tallinna Wolves II0
Flora U1912
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vastseliina Tannem0
Legion14
TBD-
Kadakas-
Valga Warrior-
TBD-
TBD-
Elva-
Kalju U21-
TBD-
TBD-
Teleios-
Kohvile0
Paide Linnameeskond III5
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Legion U2110
Vana Hea Puur1
ReUnited3
Loo JK1
Marjamaa Kompanii-
TBD-
TBD-
Helm-
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
Rakvere-
TransferWise-
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu8
Kose0
Parnu-
TBD-
TBD-
Arukula Vigri-
Harju JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
EstHam United-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Raplamaa-
Olympic Tallinn5
Maardu Aliens4
TBD-
Saae Latte-
Tabasalu26
JK Poseidon II0
TBD-
Tartu JK Welco-
JK Jalgpallihaigla-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia-
Zenit Tallinn-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Tulevik-
TBD-
TBD-
Vandra Vaprus-
Mulgi-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Helios-
JK 32. keskkool-
Narva-
Tabasalu Ulasabat-
Aksi Wolves-
TBD-
FCI Tallinn3
Eston Villa1
Rumori Calcio-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev-
Soccernet-
TBD-
TBD-
Jogeva Wolves-
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
FC Alliance-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Tallinna Wolves-
TBD-
FCP Parnu0
Maksatransport3
1/32-finals
Kuressaare2
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kristiine2
Laaneranna3
Tartu Kalev11
Jager0
Tallinn Piraaja-
Flora U19-
Flora-
TBD-
Legion13
Kadakas0
Valga Warrior0
Elva6
Kalju U219
Teleios0
Paide Linnameeskond III4
Johvi Phoenix5
Legion U212
ReUnited4
Marjamaa Kompanii0
Helm7
Saku Sporting0
Rakvere2
TransferWise0
Tammeka Tartu18
Parnu9
Arukula Vigri0
Harju JK Laagri29
EstHam United0
Tallinna FC Zapoos2
Raplamaa1
Olympic Tallinn3
Saae Latte0
Tabasalu3
Tartu JK Welco1
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Kalju23
TBD-
Levadia-
Zenit Tallinn5
JK Poseidon3
Tulevik4
Vandra Vaprus1
Mulgi-
FC Tallinn-
Flora Tallinn U2113
Jarva-Jaani0
Helios0
Narva9
Aksi Wolves2
FCI Tallinn3
Rumori Calcio0
Tallinna Kalev8
Soccernet-
Jogeva Wolves-
Nomme Utd3
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
FC Alliance1
Tallinna Kalev U216
Tallinna Wolves0
Maksatransport10
1/16-finals
Kuressaare-
Laaneranna-
Tartu Kalev2
Flora U190
Flora6
Legion0
Elva-
Kalju U21-
Johvi Phoenix-
ReUnited-
Helm1
Rakvere4
Tammeka Tartu8
Parnu0
Harju JK Laagri13
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Olympic Tallinn0
Tabasalu5
Kalju2
Levadia0
Zenit Tallinn1
Tulevik6
FC Tallinn4
Flora Tallinn U211
Narva5
FCI Tallinn0
Tallinna Kalev15
Soccernet0
Nomme Utd0
Paide Linnameeskond4
Tallinna Kalev U216
Maksatransport2
1/8-finals
Kuressaare5
Tartu Kalev2
Flora6
Elva0
Johvi Phoenix1
Rakvere0
Tammeka Tartu5
Harju JK Laagri2
Tabasalu1
Kalju0
Tulevik0
FC Tallinn2
Narva2
Tallinna Kalev1
Paide Linnameeskond11
Tallinna Kalev U211
Quarter-finals
Kuressaare1
Flora2
Johvi Phoenix1
Tammeka Tartu6
Tabasalu2
FC Tallinn1
Narva1
Paide Linnameeskond0
Semi-finals
Flora1
Tammeka Tartu0
Tabasalu0
Narva1
Final
Flora1
Narva2