Sport Picks
Tallinna Kalev III vs IAFA Estonia
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Estonian Cup 2014/2015. This has IAFA Estonia written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Tallinna Kalev III at 1 goals for, 2.25 against; IAFA Estonia at 0.5 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Tallinna Kalev III slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 16, 2014, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.38, favoring IAFA Estonia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IAFA Estonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- IAFA Estonia haven't matched Tallinna Kalev III's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on IAFA Estonia taking it.
- Tallinna Kalev III have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Tallinna Kalev III Clean Sheet 17%
IAFA Estonia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna Kalev III | IAFA Estonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 2 |
| Wins | 6 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 16, 2014 Estonian Cup
Tallinna Kalev III vs IAFA Estonia
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna Kalev III 10 / 100
IAFA Estonia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna Kalev III IAFA Estonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
IAFA Estonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 1 matches.
Tallinna Kalev III scored in 67% of their last 18 games.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Tallinna Kalev III has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna Kalev III VS IAFA Estonia
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna Kalev III
(Home) 03 Sept
Tallinna Kalev III
1 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
26 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
9 : 0 EstHam United
19 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 6 Tabasalu
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 10 Legion
11 Sept
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev III
Page 1 of 4
03 Sept
Tallinna Kalev III
1 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
26 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
9 : 0 EstHam United
19 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 6 Tabasalu
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
0 : 10 Legion
14 Jun
Tallinna Kalev III
3 : 4 Laanemaa Haapsalu
Page 1 of 3
IAFA Estonia
(Away) 16 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
: IAFA Estonia
04 Jul
Saue JK Laagri
2 : 1 IAFA Estonia
16 Jul
Tallinna Kalev III
: IAFA Estonia
04 Jul
Saue JK Laagri
2 : 1 IAFA Estonia
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Flora Tallinn U215
Santos Tartu4
Rapla Lokomotiiv0
Narva United2
Rada Kuusalu9
Tartu Ulikool0
SK EPMU Tartu2
Tammeka Tartu5
Flora U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Tapa-
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts5
Lootos FCR2
Virtsu1
Igiliikur5
Retro5
Tallinn Piraaja1
TBD-
Valga Warrior-
Rapla-
TBD-
FCP Parnu0
FC Tartu4
Tabasalu3
JK Jalgpallihaigla2
Kadakas0
Kaitseliit2
Nomme Utd10
Anija0
Lelle1
Ulikool Tallinn5
FCI Tallinn II7
Paidelona0
TBD-
Elva-
Otepaa-
TBD-
Castovanni Eagles0
Rakvere3
Metropool Parnu9
Haiba0
Fellin1
Raasiku Valla2
Ulikool Tallinn II-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Ararat-
Kivioli Irbis-
TBD-
Loo JK1
Saku Sporting3
Reaal-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu1
SK Taaksi2
Keila JK12
Somnium1
TBD-
Puuma-
Tartu Tehased4
Twister Tallinn1
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Flora7
Tulevik0
TBD-
JK Visadus-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
TBD-
Kose-
Levadia-
TBD-
Aseri Askele1
Tallinna Kalev II6
Imavere Forss6
Helios1
Eston Villa1
Saue JK Laagri2
FCI Tallinn16
JK Poseidon0
Viimsi Ehitus2
Raasiku Joker8
Soccernet-
TBD-
Pirita0
Voru1
Tallinna Dnipro-
Vutihoolikud-
Shnelli0
Maardu United8
Viimsi MRJK6
Jarva-Jaani1
Narva1
Sillamae Kalev3
Johvi Phoenix-
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS-
Tartu Taara0
Vandra Vaprus8
IAFA Estonia-
TBD-
Raudne Rusikas2
Tallinna Kalev III3
Jogeva-
TBD-
TBD-
Lasnamae-
Navi Vutiselts-
TBD-
Parnu Linnameeskond3
Tallinna Kalev4
Maardu Linnameeskond8
Tallinna Depoo3
Olympic Tallinn0
Viimsi JK5
Torva JK6
Vastseliina Tannem0
Kohtla-Nomme2
Ganvix Turi11
Kuressaare7
Vaatsa Vald0
Oismae Torm1
Merkuur Tartu10
Ambla-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju-
1/32-finals
Flora Tallinn U213
Narva United1
Rada Kuusalu1
Tammeka Tartu4
Flora U194
Tapa0
Tallinna Jalgpalliselts0
Igiliikur2
Retro9
Valga Warrior2
Rapla1
FC Tartu8
Tabasalu3
Kaitseliit0
Nomme Utd2
Ulikool Tallinn9
FCI Tallinn II3
Elva2
Otepaa0
Rakvere2
Metropool Parnu3
Raasiku Valla1
Ulikool Tallinn II0
FC Ararat5
Kivioli Irbis15
Saku Sporting0
Reaal2
SK Taaksi4
Keila JK2
Puuma1
Tartu Tehased0
Paide Linnameeskond17
Flora5
JK Visadus0
Tartu JK Welco0
Kose1
Levadia19
Tallinna Kalev II0
Imavere Forss1
Saue JK Laagri3
FCI Tallinn2
Raasiku Joker0
Soccernet2
Voru5
Tallinna Dnipro2
Maardu United0
Viimsi MRJK0
Sillamae Kalev11
Johvi Phoenix2
Vandra Vaprus1
IAFA Estonia-
Tallinna Kalev III-
Jogeva-
Lasnamae-
Navi Vutiselts0
Tallinna Kalev3
Maardu Linnameeskond2
Viimsi JK1
Torva JK1
Ganvix Turi4
Kuressaare4
Merkuur Tartu0
Ambla0
Kalju18
1/16-finals
Flora Tallinn U213
Tammeka Tartu1
Flora U192
Igiliikur3
Retro5
FC Tartu2
Tabasalu2
Ulikool Tallinn11
FCI Tallinn II2
Rakvere1
Metropool Parnu3
FC Ararat4
Kivioli Irbis7
SK Taaksi3
Keila JK0
Paide Linnameeskond6
Flora13
Kose0
Levadia-
Saue JK Laagri-
FCI Tallinn11
Voru0
Tallinna Dnipro0
Sillamae Kalev13
Johvi Phoenix3
Tallinna Kalev III1
Jogeva0
Tallinna Kalev1
Maardu Linnameeskond5
Ganvix Turi1
Kuressaare0
Kalju4
1/8-finals
Flora Tallinn U219
Igiliikur0
Retro3
Ulikool Tallinn4
FCI Tallinn II3
FC Ararat0
Kivioli Irbis-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Flora11
Saue JK Laagri0
FCI Tallinn0
Sillamae Kalev1
Johvi Phoenix3
Tallinna Kalev0
Maardu Linnameeskond0
Kalju4
Quarter-finals
Flora Tallinn U215
Ulikool Tallinn3
FCI Tallinn II0
Paide Linnameeskond3
Flora2
Sillamae Kalev1
Johvi Phoenix3
Kalju5
Semi-finals
Flora Tallinn U211
Paide Linnameeskond3
Flora1
Kalju2
Final
Paide Linnameeskond0
Kalju2