Sport Picks

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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev U21 host Johvi Phoenix in the Esiliiga B. Johvi Phoenix are expected to control this from the start. Johvi Phoenix have shipped 2.25 goals a game lately, while Tallinna Kalev U21 have conceded 2 and scored 2.38. Past meetings favor Johvi Phoenix slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.31 - 2.38) back Johvi Phoenix to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tallinna Kalev U21
6%
Draws
90%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Johvi Phoenix carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Johvi Phoenix's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 2.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Johvi Phoenix let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tallinna Kalev U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Johvi Phoenix
2.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Home)
23 Jul
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 2
Rakvere FC Freedom
20 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U21
5 : 4
Tallinna Kalev U21
12 Jul
Levadia U19
4 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
05 Jul
Legion
2 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 3
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
22 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
8 : 1
FC Hell Hunt
12 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
04 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tartu Kalev
22 Jun
Levadia U19
2 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
18 Jun
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 1
Legion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2120132559:4141
2Narva U2119112648:2935
3Tulevik19111755:3934
4Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2120102857:4632
6Levadia U1920102848:3932
7Tartu Kalev20911054:4228
8Tabasalu20901133:5227
9Tallinna Kalev U2120421442:5114
10Legion19311518:7710
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)