Sport Picks
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga B 
Match Events
15'
15'
Olsen P.
54'
54'
Lehtmaa H.
90'
90'
Kuzmenkov N.
AI Match Summary
The Esiliiga B game between Tallinna Kalev U21 and Johvi Phoenix finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Johvi Phoenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Johvi Phoenix carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Tallinna Kalev U21's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
- History favors Johvi Phoenix here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna Kalev U21 | Johvi Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.43 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:3
Aug 9, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
3:1
May 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Johvi Phoenix
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Olsen P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lehtmaa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Johvi Phoenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzmenkov N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna Kalev U21 47 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna Kalev U21 Johvi Phoenix
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.
Johvi Phoenix has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.25 goals when they meet.
Johvi Phoenix lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Johvi Phoenix
2.13 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna Kalev U21
(Home) 18 Oct
Levadia U19
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2 Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2 Narva U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1 Tabasalu
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1 Tulevik
21 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 3 Legion
Page 1 of 3
Johvi Phoenix
(Away) 18 Oct
Tartu Kalev
4 : 0 Johvi Phoenix
15 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 3 Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
0 : 1 Narva U21
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2 Tabasalu
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Tartu Kalev
4 : 0 Johvi Phoenix
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Levadia U19
6 : 2 Johvi Phoenix
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
23 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 3 Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74:36 | 70 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 83:53 | 65 |
| 3 | Tammeka Tartu U21 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 90:62 | 58 |
| 4 | Johvi Phoenix | 33 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 72:76 | 54 |
| 5 | Tulevik | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 86:67 | 53 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 100:67 | 50 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | 76:62 | 50 |
| 8 | Tabasalu | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 46:85 | 34 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev U21 | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 65:82 | 30 |
| 10 | Legion | 33 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 27:129 | 12 |
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)
