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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Klimakov J. M.
Own Goal
43' Event
Kolodchuk M.
55' Event
Kubensky S.

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev U21 host Legion in the Esiliiga B. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tallinna Kalev U21 have averaged 2.25 scored and 1.75 conceded recently, against Legion's 1.13 scored and 5 conceded. Past meetings favor Legion slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (3.63 xG vs 1.44) point toward Tallinna Kalev U21. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tallinna Kalev U21
6%
Draws
4%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev U21 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Legion.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Esiliiga B provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Legion
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 5
Draws 4 1
Losses 20 24
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 5.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
5:1
Feb 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
1:2
Sep 14, 2019 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Legion
0:1
Jul 26, 2019 Esiliiga
Legion vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kubensky S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolodchuk M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 84 / 100
Legion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Legion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Legion let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Tallinna Kalev U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Legion lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Legion
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777