Sport Picks

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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Tomingas M.
23' Event
Kudriashov V.
48' Event
Lasn O.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tallinna Kalev U21 and Narva U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Narva U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tallinna Kalev U21
35%
Draws
34%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev U21 haven't matched Narva U21's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Narva U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Narva U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 2.07 2.69
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
5:0
Jun 22, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:0
Aug 6, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Narva U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomingas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lasn O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudriashov V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 34 / 100
Narva U21 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Tallinna Kalev U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Narva U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Narva U21
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Home)
30 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 1
Tulevik
25 Aug
Tartu Kalev
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
21 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 3
Legion
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
09 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 1
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

Narva U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
23 Aug
Tulevik
3 : 3
Narva U21
19 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Narva U21
15 Aug
Narva U21
1 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
09 Aug
Legion
1 : 3
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia U19 26 16 2 8 65:44 50
2 Narva U21 25 15 3 7 64:34 48
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 26 14 4 8 69:53 46
4 Johvi Phoenix 26 14 3 9 59:55 45
5 Tartu Kalev 26 13 2 11 65:50 41
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 26 12 4 10 74:55 40
7 Tulevik 26 11 5 10 64:54 38
8 Tabasalu 26 9 2 15 37:71 29
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 26 6 5 15 52:63 23
10 Legion 25 3 2 20 23:93 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)