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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev U21 host Parnu JK Vaprus U21 in the Esiliiga B. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Tallinna Kalev U21 have conceded 2.5 and scored 2.1. Head-to-head, Tallinna Kalev U21 have won 0 to Parnu JK Vaprus U21's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 7:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 2.75) point toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tallinna Kalev U21
15%
Draws
51%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Parnu JK Vaprus U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • Win probability leans Parnu JK Vaprus U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 2.1 3.33
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
7:0
Jun 19, 2026 Esiliiga B
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:2
Apr 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 10 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Tallinna Kalev U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1.88 Goals Scored 3
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Home)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 6

Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
5 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
6 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)