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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Esna J.
25' Event
Kokla J.
45' Event
Seimoja T.

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tallinna Kalev U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tallinna Kalev U21
15%
Draws
34%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tabasalu lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev U21 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Tabasalu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.46
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu
4:1
Aug 16, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:1
Jun 13, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:1
May 2, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu
2:3
Sep 28, 2024 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tabasalu
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Esna J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kokla J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 83 / 100
Tabasalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Tabasalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Tabasalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Tabasalu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Tabasalu
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Home)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
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Tabasalu

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 31 21 3 7 72:36 66
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 31 17 3 11 71:69 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 31 16 4 11 76:61 52
5 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 31 14 5 12 96:63 47
7 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
8 Tabasalu 31 10 3 18 45:83 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 32 8 6 18 64:79 30
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)