Sport Picks
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tallinna FC Zapoos
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2024/2025 Kalevi Keskstaadion, Tallinn 
Match Events
14'
14'
Kuber R.
16'
16'
Karlson O.
48'
48'
Karlson O.
AI Match Summary
Tallinna FC Zapoos in this Estonian Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tallinna Kalev U21 have won more games recently than Tallinna FC Zapoos.
- Tallinna Kalev U21 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Tallinna Kalev U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tallinna FC Zapoos, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna Kalev U21 | Tallinna FC Zapoos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 18 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 23 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 4.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2024 Estonian Cup
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tallinna FC Zapoos
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ilves R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kaupmees R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Tallinna FC Zapoos Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlson O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kuber R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna Kalev U21 34 / 100
Tallinna FC Zapoos 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna Kalev U21 Tallinna FC Zapoos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 92% of their last 38 games.
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Tallinna FC Zapoos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.
Tallinna FC Zapoos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Tallinna FC Zapoos
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna Kalev U21
(Home) 23 Jul
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 2 Rakvere FC Freedom
20 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U21
5 : 4 Tallinna Kalev U21
12 Jul
Levadia U19
4 : 1 Tallinna Kalev U21
05 Jul
Legion
2 : 3 Tallinna Kalev U21
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 3 Narva U21
Page 1 of 8
23 Jul
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 2 Rakvere FC Freedom
22 Jun
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 3 Narva U21
01 Jun
Tallinna Kalev U21
7 : 2 Tartu Kalev
28 May
Tallinna Kalev U21
0 : 1 Tammeka Tartu U21
23 May
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1 Levadia U19
Page 1 of 4
Tallinna FC Zapoos
(Away) 28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0 FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0 Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4
28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0 Tallinna FC Zapoos
30 Oct
Hiiumaa
2 : 3 Tallinna FC Zapoos
14 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
2 : 5 Tallinna FC Zapoos
14 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
13 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kubik-
TBD-
TBD-
Marjamaa Kompanii-
FC Hell Hunt-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev III0
Tabasalu6
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Tallinna GameSport-
TBD-
TBD-
Tammeka Tartu-
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
EstHam United-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter Tartu-
Kristiine-
TBD-
Legion3
Raplamaa1
Johvi Phoenix-
TBD-
TBD-
Kohvile-
Maksatransport-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu-
Tamper4
JK Poseidon1
TBD-
Tartu JK Welco 2-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U214
Saue JK Laagri0
Kalju-
TBD-
TBD-
Eston Villa-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
Viimsi JK0
Kuressaare1
Kose1
Tartu Kalev6
TBD-
Pelgu City-
Loo JK-
TBD-
TBD-
Helm-
Tallinna Wolves-
TBD-
TBD-
Elva-
Levadia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tulevik2
Zealot Sporting1
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Kuusalu Kalev-
TBD-
TBD-
Tartu Helios-
Saae Latte-
TBD-
TBD-
Hiiumaa-
Flora U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Sillamae Silmet-
TransferWise-
TBD-
Kose II0
Harju JK Laagri26
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond4
Soccernet0
Narva-
TBD-
TBD-
Arukula Vigri-
FC Lootos Polva-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Starmedia-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn-
Tallinna Smsraha-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Ararat-
Vastseliina Tannem5
Vana Hea Puur0
TBD-
Tabasalu Ulasabat-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
TBD-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
1/32-finals
Kubik3
Marjamaa Kompanii4
FC Hell Hunt1
Tabasalu3
Saku Sporting1
FC Tallinn2
Tallinna GameSport0
Tammeka Tartu24
Tallinna Kalev-
TBD-
EstHam United0
Inter Tartu4
Kristiine0
Legion5
Johvi Phoenix3
Kohvile1
Maksatransport3
Parnu1
Tamper3
Tartu JK Welco 21
Tartu JK Welco2
Flora Tallinn U213
Kalju11
Eston Villa1
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Maardu Aliens0
Kuressaare12
Tartu Kalev7
Pelgu City0
Loo JK2
Helm4
Tallinna Wolves0
Elva8
Levadia-
TBD-
Tulevik3
Jarva-Jaani0
Kuusalu Kalev0
Tartu Helios4
Saae Latte2
Hiiumaa6
Flora U190
Tallinna Kalev U216
Tallinna FC Zapoos4
Sillamae Silmet3
TransferWise0
Harju JK Laagri15
Nomme Utd9
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond0
Narva7
Arukula Vigri0
FC Lootos Polva0
Tallinna Starmedia3
Parnu JK Vaprus11
Olympic Tallinn0
Tallinna Smsraha1
FC Ararat3
Vastseliina Tannem1
Tabasalu Ulasabat5
Laanemaa Haapsalu5
Rumori Calcio1
1/16-finals
Marjamaa Kompanii0
Tabasalu2
FC Tallinn2
Tammeka Tartu1
Tallinna Kalev14
Inter Tartu0
Legion4
Johvi Phoenix3
Maksatransport0
Tamper3
Flora Tallinn U210
Kalju7
Flora0
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare7
Tartu Kalev0
Helm1
Elva5
Levadia8
Tulevik1
Tartu Helios1
Hiiumaa3
Tallinna Kalev U212
Tallinna FC Zapoos5
Harju JK Laagri3
Nomme Utd0
Narva6
Tallinna Starmedia1
Parnu JK Vaprus10
FC Ararat0
Tabasalu Ulasabat1
Laanemaa Haapsalu6
1/8-finals
Tabasalu1
FC Tallinn3
Tallinna Kalev3
Legion0
Tamper0
Kalju9
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare1
Elva1
Levadia3
Hiiumaa2
Tallinna FC Zapoos3
Harju JK Laagri0
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus3
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Quarter-finals
FC Tallinn0
Tallinna Kalev5
Kalju1
Paide Linnameeskond0
Levadia7
Tallinna FC Zapoos0
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Semi-finals
Tallinna Kalev0
Kalju5
Levadia1
Narva0
Final
Kalju4
Levadia3
