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Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev U21 host Tartu Kalev in the Esiliiga B. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Tallinna Kalev U21 at 2.1 goals for, 2.41 against; Tartu Kalev at 2.47 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Tallinna Kalev U21 slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 25, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.63, favoring Tartu Kalev. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tallinna Kalev U21
15%
Draws
51%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • Tallinna Kalev U21 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev U21 Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 2.1 2.47
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:1
Jun 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev
7:2
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
1:3
Sep 23, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tartu Kalev
0:0
Jul 3, 2023 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tallinna Kalev U21
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev U21 41 / 100
Tartu Kalev 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev U21 Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21 scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Tartu Kalev conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Tartu Kalev registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev U21 VS Tartu Kalev
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Home)
18 Oct
Levadia U19
3 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 6

Tartu Kalev

(Away)
18 Oct
Tartu Kalev
4 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
15 Oct
Narva U21
2 : 0
Tartu Kalev
10 Oct
Tartu Kalev
0 : 2
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 33 22 4 7 74:36 70
2 Levadia U19 33 21 2 10 83:53 65
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 33 18 4 11 90:62 58
4 Johvi Phoenix 33 17 3 13 72:76 54
5 Tulevik 33 16 5 12 86:67 53
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 33 15 5 13 100:67 50
7 Tartu Kalev 33 16 2 15 76:62 50
8 Tabasalu 33 10 4 19 46:85 34
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 33 8 6 19 65:82 30
10 Legion 33 3 3 27 27:129 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)