Sport Picks
Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn 
Match Events
5'
5'
Sikk A.
Assist: Petrunin D.
25'
25'
Nesterov K.
Assist: Mohhov I.
AI Match Summary
The Esiliiga game between Tallinna Kalev and FC Tallinn finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Tallinn
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Tallinna Kalev come out ahead of FC Tallinn on wins alone.
- 29% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev taking it.
- Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna Kalev | FC Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.19 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn
1:1
May 14, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn
5:1
Mar 5, 2025 Estonian Cup
FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tallinna Kalev Compare
Top Goalscorer Sikk A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
FC Tallinn Compare
Top Goalscorer Nesterov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna Kalev 65 / 100
FC Tallinn 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna Kalev FC Tallinn
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tallinna Kalev scored in 94% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: FC Tallinn conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Solid form: Tallinna Kalev remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna Kalev VS FC Tallinn
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna Kalev
(Home) 10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2 Viimsi JK
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
: Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2 Viimsi JK
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3 Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0 Elva
Page 1 of 4
FC Tallinn
(Away) 10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2 FC Tallinn
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10 Harju JK Laagri
22 Sept
FC Tallinn
5 : 0 Harju JK Laagri U21
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1 FC Tallinn
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5 Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2 FC Tallinn
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1 FC Tallinn
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2 FC Tallinn
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1 FC Tallinn
15 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 0 FC Tallinn
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | 68 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 32 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 58:32 | 56 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | 51 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 61:55 | 47 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 53:57 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41:64 | 35 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | 25 |
| 10 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | 41 |
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)
