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Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Tomberg M.
31' Event
Mihhailov V.
Own Goal
35' Event
Kaares A.

AI Match Summary

Flora Tallinn U21 in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flora Tallinn U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tallinna Kalev
6%
Draws
4%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 have won more games recently than Tallinna Kalev.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.88 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:1
Apr 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:4
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:1
Oct 16, 2021 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:0
Sep 12, 2021 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomberg M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaares A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lorenz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flora Tallinn U21 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Tallinna Kalev found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Tallinna Kalev went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Flora Tallinn U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
18 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
03 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
21 Jun
Tallinna Kalev
5 : 1
Kalju U21
18 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
12 Jul
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 1
Flora Tallinn U21
09 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
3 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
30 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
3 : 3
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)