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Tallinna Kalev vs Kalju U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev host Kalju U21 in the Esiliiga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Tallinna Kalev have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.77 conceded recently, against Kalju U21's 1.32 scored and 2.64 conceded. Head-to-head, Tallinna Kalev have won 3 to Kalju U21's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.44, favoring Tallinna Kalev. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Tallinna Kalev
15%
Draws
36%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 16%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Kalju U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 2.13 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:3
Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Kalju U21
5:1
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:4
Oct 2, 2016 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:1
Aug 13, 2016 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Kalju U21
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 66 / 100
Kalju U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Kalju U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Kalju U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Kalju U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2
Viimsi JK
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Kalju U21

(Away)
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
21 Sept
Kalju U21
2 : 3
Nomme Utd U21
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 32 16 2 14 62:55 50
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 32 7 4 21 38:80 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)