Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kubensky S.
Assist: Gusarov A.
45' Event
Sambe M.
Assist: Liiv H.
50' Event
Sambe M.

AI Match Summary

Levadia U21 in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Levadia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tallinna Kalev
33%
Draws
40%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Levadia U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Levadia U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
May 31, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia U21
1:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
1:4
Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Kubensky S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sambe M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 26 / 100
Levadia U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Tallinna Kalev found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Tallinna Kalev remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Levadia U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
18 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
03 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
21 Jun
Tallinna Kalev
5 : 1
Kalju U21
18 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
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Levadia U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 2
Levadia U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
05 Jul
Flora Tallinn U21
0 : 4
Levadia U21
21 Jun
Levadia U21
4 : 0
FC Tallinn
18 Jun
Levadia U21
1 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)