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Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev host Levadia U21 in the Esiliiga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Levadia U21 have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Tallinna Kalev have conceded 1.74 and scored 2.26. Head-to-head, Tallinna Kalev have won 1 to Levadia U21's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.94) point toward Levadia U21. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Tallinna Kalev
20%
Draws
57%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia U21 have won more games recently than Tallinna Kalev.
  • Win probability leans Levadia U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Levadia U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.26 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
May 31, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Levadia U21
1:2
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:2
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
1:4
Oct 23, 2021 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 10 / 100
Levadia U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Levadia U21 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Tallinna Kalev stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Levadia U21
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Kalju U21
0 : 3
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U21

(Away)
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 29 18 5 6 79:39 59
2 Viimsi JK 29 15 5 9 56:29 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 29 14 5 10 70:51 47
4 Elva 29 14 5 10 46:43 47
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 28 10 6 12 50:53 36
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 28 7 7 14 34:62 28
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)