Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme Utd U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Gusarov A.
Assist: Ilves R.
32' Event
De Pizzol O.
Assist: Mihhailov V.
45' Event
Saarnak J.
Assist: Krasnov I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tallinna Kalev
6%
Draws
4%
Nomme Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nomme Utd U21 lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tallinna Kalev have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Nomme Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Nomme Utd U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme Utd U21
3:1
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Nomme Utd U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
1:2
May 1, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Nomme Utd U21
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Gusarov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Pizzol O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nomme Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Saarnak J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kaspar A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100
Nomme Utd U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Nomme Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nomme Utd U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Tallinna Kalev's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tallinna Kalev went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Nomme Utd U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619