Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2023/2024 Kalevi Keskstaadion

Vana Hea Puur

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev play Vana Hea Puur in the Estonian Cup 2023/2024. Tallinna Kalev are favorites here. Recently, Tallinna Kalev averaged 2.43 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Vana Hea Puur averaged 0.2 goals scored and 10.2 conceded. In past meetings, Tallinna Kalev won 1, Vana Hea Puur won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 22, 2023 ended 20:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.63 for Vana Hea Puur. This points to a Tallinna Kalev double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%

Tallinna Kalev

15%

Draws

14%

Vana Hea Puur

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tallinna Kalev picked up more points recently compared to Vana Hea Puur.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 14%

Vana Hea Puur Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tallinna Kalev	Vana Hea Puur
Matches Played	30	5
Wins	12	0
Draws	4	0
Losses	14	5
Goals Scored	2.43	0.2
Goals Conceded	2.2	10.2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	10.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2023 Estonian Cup

Tallinna Kalev vs Vana Hea Puur

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

20:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 67 / 100

Vana Hea Puur 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tallinna Kalev Vana Hea Puur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tallinna Kalev & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.9%

1.59

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tallinna Kalev attacking → ← attacking Vana Hea Puur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Vana Hea Puur let in goals in 100% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 20.00 goals.

Tallinna Kalev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vana Hea Puur lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 0

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 10.00