Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev host Viimsi JK in the Esiliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Viimsi JK have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Tallinna Kalev have conceded 1.79 and scored 2.24. Past meetings favor Viimsi JK slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.44 - 2.13) back Viimsi JK to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Tallinna Kalev
20%
Draws
60%
Viimsi JK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Viimsi JK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev haven't matched Viimsi JK's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Viimsi JK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Viimsi JK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Viimsi JK
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.24 2
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev
1:2
May 27, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK
0:3
Mar 19, 2026 Esiliiga
Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev
2:0
Feb 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Viimsi JK vs Tallinna Kalev
3:1
Jan 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Tallinna Kalev vs Viimsi JK
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 10 / 100
Viimsi JK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Viimsi JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viimsi JK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Viimsi JK has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Viimsi JK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Viimsi JK
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Viimsi JK

(Away)
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
13 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 0
Viimsi JK
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
03 Sept
Viimsi JK
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3
Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 30 10 6 14 50:62 36
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 30 6 4 20 38:79 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)