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Tallinna Kalev W vs FC Ararat W

World World

Club Friendly Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jaarmann M.
16' Event
Ghazaryan L.
61' Event
Ghazaryan L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly Women 2025 game between Tallinna Kalev W and FC Ararat W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ararat W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tallinna Kalev W
22%
Draws
60%
FC Ararat W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Ararat W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ararat W haven't matched Tallinna Kalev W's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on FC Ararat W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tallinna Kalev W Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev W FC Ararat W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs FC Ararat W
8:0
Jun 14, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs FC Ararat W
1:1
May 1, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tallinna Kalev W
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs FC Ararat W
1:4
Sep 21, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tallinna Kalev W
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaarmann M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

FC Ararat W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghazaryan L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Asatryan V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev W 18 / 100
FC Ararat W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev W FC Ararat W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: FC Ararat W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tallinna Kalev W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: FC Ararat W conceded in 74% of 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev W VS FC Ararat W
2 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 13%
88% Over 2.5 13%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev W

(Home)
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
04 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
0 : 1
Viimsi JK W
01 Nov
Saku Sporting W
4 : 0
Tallinna Kalev W
19 Oct
Elva W
4 : 7
Tallinna Kalev W
14 Oct
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 6
Flora W
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FC Ararat W

(Away)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
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