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Tallinna Kalev W vs Tabasalu W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Raja Jalgpallihall, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Grutop V.
45'
Poora K.
45'
Sub
Isand U. In: Vilipuu A.
Out: Isand U.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Tallinna Kalev W and Tabasalu W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tabasalu W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tallinna Kalev W
20%
Draws
38%
Tabasalu W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tallinna Kalev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tabasalu W come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tallinna Kalev W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tabasalu W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Tallinna Kalev W Clean Sheet 10%
Tabasalu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev W Tabasalu W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 3.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Tabasalu W
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Tallinna Kalev W
4:3
Aug 16, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs Tallinna Kalev W
4:0
Apr 20, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Tabasalu W
2:3
Mar 16, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Tabasalu W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grutop V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Tabasalu W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salei A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev W 40 / 100
Tabasalu W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev W Tabasalu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Tallinna Kalev W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tabasalu W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev W VS Tabasalu W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev W

(Home)
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
04 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
0 : 1
Viimsi JK W
01 Nov
Saku Sporting W
4 : 0
Tallinna Kalev W
19 Oct
Elva W
4 : 7
Tallinna Kalev W
14 Oct
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 6
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

Tabasalu W

(Away)
15 Nov
Tabasalu W
1 : 5
Elva W
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
05 Nov
Tabasalu W
3 : 4
Saku Sporting W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
15 Oct
Viimsi JK W
2 : 1
Tabasalu W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)