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Tamai vs Carenipievigina

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Serie D - Group C 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamai play Carenipievigina in the Serie D - Group C 2016/2017. Tamai are favorites here. Recently, Tamai averaged 1 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Carenipievigina averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Tamai won 1, Carenipievigina won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 15, 2017 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Tamai and 1.44 for Carenipievigina. This points to a Tamai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Tamai
15%
Draws
22%
Carenipievigina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Tamai picked up more points recently compared to Carenipievigina.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Tamai Clean Sheet 16%
Carenipievigina Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamai Carenipievigina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2017 Serie D - Group C
Tamai vs Carenipievigina
3:0
Sep 11, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Carenipievigina vs Tamai
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamai 60 / 100
Carenipievigina 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamai Carenipievigina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tamai & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tamai attacking → ← attacking Carenipievigina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamai scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Carenipievigina let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Tamai went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Carenipievigina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 19
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mestre34255473:3480
2Triestina34219463:3372
3Campodarsego34179855:4260
4Virtus Verona341411942:3053
5Abano341314746:3853
6AC Belluno3413111040:3650
7Arzignano3413101143:3449
8Montebelluna341281446:5444
9Union Feltre3411101335:3743
10Este3410131133:3343
11Legnago Salus3410111346:4341
12Altovicentino341171645:5540
13Calvi Noale341171644:4540
14Tamai341171633:4540
15Cordenons341091544:5639
16Vigasio349111442:6138
17Vigontina344131742:6225
18Carenipievigina34652329:6323