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Tamaraceite vs Mensajero Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Afonso J.
56' Event
Sanchez S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Tamaraceite advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Tamaraceite
15%
Draws
64%
Mensajero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mensajero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Mensajero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mensajero are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Mensajero arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mensajero, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 26%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamaraceite Mensajero
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Tamaraceite
1:0
May 16, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Mensajero
2:0
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Tamaraceite
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Mensajero
3:3
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Mensajero
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Afonso J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mensajero Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamaraceite 30 / 100
Mensajero 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamaraceite Mensajero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mensajero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamaraceite found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Mensajero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Tamaraceite stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamaraceite VS Mensajero
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamaraceite

(Home)
27 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
6 : 2
Tamaraceite
20 Sept
Tamaraceite
1 : 3
Recreativo Huelva
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 6

Mensajero

(Away)
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
24 May
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
UD San Fernando 3
Panaderia 2
Mensajero 1
Tamaraceite 2
Final
UD San Fernando 1
Tamaraceite 4