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Tamaraceite vs Panaderia Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Perez J.
18' Event
Sanchez S.
71' Event
Viera M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Tamaraceite and Panaderia finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tamaraceite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Tamaraceite
15%
Draws
59%
Panaderia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panaderia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tamaraceite come out ahead of Panaderia on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 20%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamaraceite Panaderia
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.71 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Panaderia
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Tamaraceite
1:2
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Tamaraceite
3:1
Dec 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Panaderia
4:0
Feb 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Tamaraceite
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamaraceite Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Viera M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Panaderia Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamaraceite 32 / 100
Panaderia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamaraceite Panaderia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamaraceite scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Panaderia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Tamaraceite went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamaraceite VS Panaderia
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.29
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamaraceite

(Home)
27 Sept
Mijas Las Lagunas
6 : 2
Tamaraceite
20 Sept
Tamaraceite
1 : 3
Recreativo Huelva
13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0
Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1
Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5
Tamaraceite
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Panaderia

(Away)
26 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
2 : 0
Panaderia
19 Sept
Panaderia
3 : 3
Tenerife C
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2
Panaderia
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)